STAPM publications

This page lists the publications that have resulted from the original UK Centre for Tobacco and Alcohol Studies (UKCTAS) funding, which initiated the development of the Sheffield Tobacco and Alcohol Modelling (STAPM) platform. The initial development of STAPM with the UKCTAS funding provided the foundation for its further development using subsequent programme- and project-level funding (see the Projects page). The major current programme-level funding is from SPECTRUM, a UK Prevention Research Partnership consortium. Publications from all subsequent STAPM related work are also listed on this page.

The publications on this page cover the conceptual and technical development of STAPM platform and the models built upon it, findings produced by the analysis of data that is input into the modelling, analyses that provide context to the modelling, and findings derived from model simulation results.

The Sheffield Tobacco and Alcohol Policy Modelling initiative is an extension of the alcohol policy modelling work conducted by the Sheffield Alcohol Research Group (SARG). For a full list of SARG publications see https://sarg-sheffield.ac.uk/publications/. The most relevant publications on the SARG website are the reports and peer-reviewed publications from the original version of the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model, which was developed into the STAPM platform. The major reports and publications listed on this page are also listed on the SARG website.

This page also lists open access technical reports and software in the form of R packages that document and make transparent the STAPM methods. These publications are version controlled and new versions are periodically produced, e.g. to improve the explanation of methods or as new methods are added. In the citations below, place holders are added for the current [YEAR] and version [x.x.x] of these publications to be entered. The current versions can be found on the reports themselves or on the webpages for the STAPM family of R packages.

Model development

This section lists the main publications that describe the development of the STAPM platform. These publications cover conceptual modelling work and technical descriptions of the design of the models that are built upon the STAPM platform.

The design of the STAPM platform means that models can share functional components, e.g. the joint tobacco and alcohol TAX-sim model uses and builds upon the model mechanisms in the Sheffield Tobacco Policy Model (STPM) and the new version of the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model (SAPM-R). The TAX-sim technical report therefore does not include detailed explanations of the model mechanisms described in the separate STPM and SAPM-R technical reports.

  • Gillespie, D., Hatchard, J., Squires, H. et al. Conceptualising changes to tobacco and alcohol policy as affecting a single interlinked system. BMC Public Health 21, 17 (2021) DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-020-10000-3.



  • Gillespie, D., Morris, D., Leeming, G., Kai Le Chen, R., Wilson, L., Stevely, A., Holmes,J., Brennan, A. & Angus, C. ([YEAR]) The Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model - new version coded in R (SAPM-R): full technical documentation. Documentation version number [x.x.x]. The University of Sheffield. URL: https://osf.io/jkpx4. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/M37KT.


  • Morris, D., Brennan, A., Angus, C., Wilson, L., Pryce, R., & Gillespie, D. ([YEAR]). Tobacco and Alcohol Tax and Price Intervention Simulation Model (TAX-sim): full technical documentation. Documentation version number [x.x.x]. The University of Sheffield. URL: https://osf.io/kr23z/. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/KR23Z.

Forecasts

  • Gillespie D, Langley T, Agrawal S (2021) Section 2.6 - Model-based projections of alternative scenarios for the future trajectories of smoking prevalence in England and corresponding differences in quality-adjusted years of life. Tobacco Advisory Group of the Royal College of Physicians. ‘Smoking and health 2021: A coming of age for tobacco control?’ Royal College of Physicians. https://www.rcplondon.ac.uk/projects/outputs/smoking-and-health-2021-coming-age-tobacco-control

Death rates

  • Angus C, Pryce R, Holmes J, de Vocht F, Hickman M, Meier P, Brennan A, Gillespie D (2020) ‘Assessing the contribution of alcohol‐specific causes to socio‐economic inequalities in mortality in England and Wales 2001–16’, Addiction, doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/add.15037.


Hospital admissions

  • Webster L, Angus C, Pryce R, Jones M, Brennan A, Britton J, Gillespie D (2018) Sections 3.2 to 3.5 - Estimates of the costs of tobacco to secondary care in England for the general adult population (3.2), and via the effects of maternal smoking during pregnancy (3.3), passive smoking effects on child health (3.4), and surgical complications due to smoking (3.5). Tobacco Advisory Group of the Royal College of Physicians. ‘Hiding in plain sight: Treating tobacco dependency in the NHS’, London: Royal Society of Physicians. https://www.rcplondon.ac.uk/projects/outputs/hiding-plain-sight-treating-tobacco-dependency-nhs.


Risks and Population Attributable Fractions of disease




  • Angus, C, Henney, M, Webster, L, and Gillespie, D. 2018. Alcohol-Attributable Diseases and Dose-Response Curves for the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model Version 4.0. The University of Sheffield. doi: https://doi.org/10.15131/shef.data.6819689.


Policy evaluation

  • Langley T, Gillespie D, Lewis S, Eminson K, Brennan A, Docherty G, Young B (2020) ‘Developing logic models to inform public health policy outcome evaluation: an example from tobacco control’, Journal of Public Health, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/pubmed/fdaa032


  • Holmes J, Beard E, Brown J, Brennan A, Meier PS, Michie S, Stevely AK, Webster L, Buykx PF (2020) ’Effects on alcohol consumption of announcing and implementing revised UK low-risk drinking guidelines: findings from an interrupted time series analysis‘, Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/jech-2020-213820. (This project used data on English hospital admissions from the STAPM platform)

Price policy

  • Pryce, R., Wilson, L.B., Gillespie, D., Angus, C., Morris, D., Brennan, A. (2023) Estimation of integrated price elasticities for alcohol and tobacco in the United Kingdom using the Living Costs and Food Survey 2006-2017. Drug and Alcohol Review. doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/dar.13773.


  • Hatchard J., Buykx P., Wilson L., Brennan A., Gillespie D. (2023) Mapping alcohol and tobacco tax policy interventions to inform health and economic impact analyses: A United Kingdom based qualitative framework analysis. International Journal of Drug Policy. 122:104247. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.drugpo.2023.104247.


  • Hatchard J., Buykx P., Brennan A. and Gillespie D. (2023) Options for modifying UK alcohol and tobacco tax: A rapid scoping review of the evidence over the period 1997–2018. NIHR Open Research, 3:26 (https://doi.org/10.3310/nihropenres.13379.3)


  • Morris, D., Brennan, A., Angus, C., Wilson, L., Pryce, R., & Gillespie, D. (2023). Tobacco and Alcohol Tax and Price Intervention Simulation Model (TAX-sim): full technical documentation. The University of Sheffield. URL: https://osf.io/nfa4v. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/KR23Z



  • Wilson, L. B., Pryce, R., Hiscock, R., Angus, C., Brennan, A., & Gillespie, D. (2021). Quantile regression of tobacco tax pass-through in the UK 2013–2019. How have manufacturers passed through tax changes for different tobacco products? Tobacco control, 30(e1), e27-e32. http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2020-055931


  • Wilson, L. B., Angus, C., Pryce, R., Holmes, J., Brennan, A., & Gillespie, D. (2021). Do dual purchasers behave differently? An analysis of purchasing data for households that buy both alcohol and tobacco in the United Kingdom. Addiction, 116(9), 2538-2547. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/add.15430


  • Wilson, L. B., Pryce, R., Angus, C., Hiscock, R., Brennan, A., & Gillespie, D. (2021). The effect of alcohol tax changes on retail prices: how do on-trade alcohol retailers pass through tax changes to consumers? The European Journal of Health Economics, 22(3), 381-392. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10198-020-01261-1



Software

Citations to the open source R packages developed to support the STAPM modelling.